01/23/2018

A strong business outlook means it’s time to invest in people and in digital: Findings from PwC’s 2018 CEO Survey

Authors Tim Ryan, Senior Partner and Chairman, PwC US Tim-ryan

The global economy is strong. Business leaders have told us as much for PwC’s 2018 CEO Survey. Much of the worry from previous years about slow business growth and economic volatility have eased. Of course, there are new concerns, but CEOs are confident that 2018 holds tremendous opportunities for business.

For American companies, this year is not just a chance for greater profit but a year to strengthen and invest for the future.

Today, we released our 21st Annual CEO Survey at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. We interviewed 1,293 CEOs from 85 countries (104 from the US) about what they are optimistic about and what keeps them up at night.

This year, US CEOs are much more certain about the global economy. In fact, for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis, a majority (52%) of US CEOs say they are very confident about their business growth. Compare this to five years ago when economic uncertainty was their biggest concern or even just last year when only 39% were very confident about growth.

Indeed, CEOs in the United States and around the world believe the global recovery has fully taken hold. Macroeconomic indicators are strong across most G-20 economies — particularly in the US, where unemployment is at an all-time low in 17 years and where the stock market is at an all-time high. So it’s no surprise that the United States is the number one, “must-win” market for business according to the CEOs we surveyed — ahead of China, Germany, India, and the United Kingdom.

Even though global economic volatility is no longer keeping CEOs up at night, they can’t get complacent. If anything, they should take this opportunity, when growth prospects are good, to shore up other parts of their business that may be lagging behind. For example, US CEOs now rank cyber threats (63%), over-regulation (55%), terrorism (50%), and geopolitical uncertainty (50%) as their top concerns for 2018. And while CEOs can’t control over-regulation, terrorism, or geopolitical uncertainty, they certainly can put in place the safety protocols to protect against online hacks and cyberattacks.

And while most CEOs today have an ever-present fear of a potential cyber attack, they are also worried about being left behind by the rapid pace of advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), autonomous transportation, and other areas where jumps in technology can give the competitive edge to new and more agile competitors.

Global vs. Organisational Growthv2

From AI to machine learning to data analytics, there’s a lot at stake when it comes to how technology is disrupting industries and the workforce. But in an environment where global growth prospects are strong, CEOs that take this opportunity and have the foresight to embrace digital transformation will be greatly rewarded.

It’s important to keep in mind, however, that digital transformation can be particularly unsettling for employees who often think immediately about the impact on their jobs. So while the PwC survey tells us that a third of US CEOs are extremely concerned that today’s workforce doesn’t have the right set of skills, it also finds that only about half of US CEOs believe it’s their responsibility to retrain employees whose tasks and jobs are automated by technology. This is in stark contrast to what CEOs from other advanced manufacturing economies think. According to our survey, 71% of CEOs in Japan, 84% of CEOs in China, and 85% of CEOs in Germany believe that they have a responsibility to retrain workers.

I believe that this is one of the most important actions for a CEO to take — to ensure their employees have the necessary digital skills for the jobs of today and tomorrow. By investing in our employees and fostering trust, CEOs can build a more skilled and inspired workforce that will ultimately be more innovative, agile, and responsive to business needs. And by helping the workforce adjust to the digital transformation with upskilling, we meet our responsibility to build better companies and support our people.

We are currently in an unprecedented time of opportunity and awareness. It is our job as leaders to build companies that are fundamentally strong businesses that support our employees, and embrace the challenges of our global economy. Business is very good today — let’s ensure we embrace the opportunity to build an even better tomorrow.

01/22/2018

Winning talent (and transforming society) in a world where engagement is key

Author: Olga Grygier-Siddons, Chief Executive, PwC Central & Eastern Europe Olga

Business leaders in Central and Eastern Europe have proven they have the skills and determination to thrive in the face of mounting threats to growth, such as terrorism, climate change and rising populism. But closer to home, they face a new challenge: adapting their organisations to a new world where values such as trust, engagement and purpose are just as important as dollars and cents. To meet that challenge, here are four things they should focus on in 2018:

Invest in new ways of retaining and motivating digital talent. Our region has a tremendous asset in the form of its people, and their formidable technical and digital skills. And yet 51% of CEOs in Central and Eastern Europe report that they’re extremely concerned about the availability of key skills for their organisation, according to our Global CEO Survey, released in Davos this week. In fact, it’s the top perceived threat to business success in the region. What’s more, 62% of regional CEOs (compared with 50% globally) say it’s very or somewhat difficult to recruit for digital talent.

One big reason is that rivals from around the world have also noticed our talent pool, and are now competing to hire our brightest stars. So companies in our region need to learn to compete with global players – and that means competing on different terms than they’re used to. The key is not just to offer higher salaries, but more importantly to offer higher engagement: helping employees connect with a sense of organisational purpose, and offering opportunities for fulfilment that go beyond just a bigger pay cheque.

Help strengthen and improve the role of technology in society. In many areas, such as banking and telecoms, CEE has leapfrogged ahead of our Western neighbours in terms of the quality and availability of technology. The challenge now is to ensure that those benefits reach all members of our societies and work to improve the lives of all of our fellow citizens, for example through e-government initiatives. Fortunately, we have in our midst the clear world champion at e-government, Estonia. That can give us an advantage in the learning process – if we are willing to open up and learn the lessons we need.

One important way that technology can flow outward to benefit society as a whole is in the area of trust. While countries in this part of the world often struggle with low confidence in interpersonal interactions, we have relatively high trust online. Companies need to explore ways of turning digital trust into the face-to-face kind. The promising news here is that business leaders in our region are becoming aware of the importance of this issue: our survey found that 74% of CEOs in CEE (the same as globally) measure the trust between their organisation and its customers.

Work to build an education system for the future. While we rightly trumpet our region’s impressive digital skills and the impressive cohorts of technical and engineering graduates that our universities produce, we need to be honest in pointing out that our education systems often fail to teach important skills such as teamwork, critical thinking, communication and leadership. This is also borne out in the survey results: 97% of CEOs in our region (compared with 91% globally) believe it’s important to improve soft skills in addition to digital technologies.

While it’s good that executives are realising the need for better soft skills once people have been hired, our societies need to find ways of equipping our youth with those skills earlier: at the moment when they walk out the doors of the education system and enter the job market. That means companies should be proactive in reaching out to universities – and all levels of education – to ensure that young people are learning the skills they need to be able to thrive today. While entrenched bureaucracies in some countries make this difficult, they also make it all the more important for business to seek out enthusiastic partners in education, who can lead by example.

Be a part of the conversation as societies rethink measures of prosperity. Finally, businesses need to find their voice and speak up in the growing debate over how our societies measure success and how we ensure a fair distribution of the benefits of the prosperity we have achieved over the last quarter-century. By changing the way they engage with employees, customers, the education system and government as a whole, CEOs in this region have a vital role to play in this transformation.

Connect Olga on LinkedIn

Follow her on Twitter

Olga Grygier-Siddons is the Chief Executive Officer of PricewaterhouseCoopers Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) which comprises 29 Member Firms of the Global PwC Network. Olga is a member of the PwC Global Strategy Council which comprises the Territory Senior Partners from the largest 21 territories in the PwC Network.

3 reasons why CEOs are optimistic about 2018

Author: Bob Moritz, Global Chairman, PwC US Bob moritz

You don’t have to look far for signs that we live in tumultuous times. Geopolitical uncertainty, cyberattacks, and jobs threatened by artificial intelligence are just a few of the topics that dominated headlines in 2017. But despite these harbingers of gloom, a record-breaking percentage of CEOs told us they are optimistic about the economic environment worldwide, at least in the short term. That’s one of the findings of PwC’s latest Global CEO Survey, launched at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos this week. I want to focus on three highlights here:

1. Soaring short-term CEO optimism

This year’s survey showed a record jump in the all-time highest level of CEO confidence regarding global economic growth prospects for the coming year. For the first time since we asked the question in 2012, a majority (57%) of the CEOs surveyed told us they believe global economic growth will “improve”. Strikingly, this unprecedented optimism is about twice as high as last year and it is truly global — from North America to both Western and Central/Eastern Europe, as well as Africa, Latin America, the Middle East and Asia Pacific.

This confidence waned, however, when we asked CEOs about their own company’s growth in the next three years. While last year, 51% of respondents told us they were “very confident” about their organization’s longer-term growth prospects, only 45% shared that view this year.

CEOs may justifiably feel that the future is simply less predictable than it once was. With technological disruption and geopolitical unpredictability verging on commonplace, longer-term confidence may be increasingly elusive.

UC9B00222. A focus on the geopolitical positives

In the short-term, CEO optimism appears unimpeded by shake-ups such as Brexit, the Trump administration’s withdrawal from trade agreements and climate accords, and increased anxiety over North Korea. Undeterred, CEOs continue to invest in and grow their businesses.

Simply put, 2017 looks set to be the best year for the global economy since 2010. As we kick off a new year, global commodities prices have recovered from their trough and the world’s major economies are growing. Even Britain’s economy seems to be persevering despite Brexit. This upward trend is set to continue in 2018, with PwC predicting that the global economy will grow by almost 4% in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms this year.

In the US, the Trump Administration’s pro-business policies — with the notable exceptions of trade and immigration — look to be fuelling a stock market boom, corporate confidence and low unemployment. With deep corporate tax cuts, deregulation and infrastructure spending on tap for 2018, it’s no surprise that North American CEOs are our most confident survey respondents: more than half (53%) of CEOs from the region are “very confident” about their company’s growth in the next 12 months.

Only time will tell how well-founded CEOs’ short-term confidence is but the economic indicators are on their side, with booming stock markets and strong predicted GDP growth in most major markets. Also, while risks seem to grow and multiply, CEOs are, on the one hand, becoming more used to high levels of multiple risks; while on the other hand finding ways of managing them. There are plenty of potential potholes in the road ahead for business but CEOs have become better at predicting where they are and navigating around them.

3. Taking technology in their stride

Technology is affecting businesses in varied and complex ways. As we continue to hurtle through the digital age, business strategies for technology are in flux, and the numbers show that. On the one hand, technological advances — like cyberthreats and the sheer speed of change — are high on the list of concerns that keep CEOs up at night. Last year, 24% of the CEOs we spoke to told us they were “extremely concerned” about cyberthreats, but that number has jumped to 40% this year. In contrast, business leaders see enabling universal connectivity as the chief benefit of globalization.

There is no question that the impact of AI will be enormous, potentially transforming business and society at large. PwC’s recent global AI report predicts AI will contribute an additional $15.7 trillion to global GDP by 2030. But those benefits are unlikely to be shared evenly: the US and China are slated to account for 70% of the boom. There will also be winners and losers in the jobs market when machines can replace cheaper labour. Certain jobs will become redundant and new ones will be created. However, while CEOs are focused on the potential benefits of AI, they are for the time being relaxed about the impact on employment with fewer than one in five CEOs expecting to reduce headcount in the next 12 months.

Contact Bob Moritz

Connect Bob on LinkedIn

Follow him on Twitter

11/01/2017

General Secretary Xi sets out his blueprint for China

Author: Richard Oldfield, Global Markets Leader  Richard-oldfield

Whichever way you look at it, last week’s 19th National Congress of the Communist Party in China was a triumph for General Secretary Xi. From the beginnings of his days in office it was pretty clear that Xi was a different type of leader for China. A leader with a clear vision who was prepared to move quickly to marshal the resources and consolidate the powers necessary to put his vision into action. The 19th Party Congress has reinforced this, cementing Xi’s grip on power. And with no successor in the wings, he looks likely to be leading China for the next 10 to 15 years. 

While we clearly got the message that we will be dealing with General Secretary Xi for the foreseeable future, what were the messages for business and investors?

In the General Secretary’s words, the Chinese economy–having gone through “deep and fundamental changes”–now stands at a crossroads. On the one hand, between 2013 and 2016 it achieved an average GDP growth rate of 7.2%–but on the other, it faces many challenges and risks. Among them, rising levels of debt, high cost of production, low returns on investment, persistent industrial overcapacity and high levels of pollution. None is easy to fix. But by setting out priorities to pursue supply-side structural reform and a commitment to work harder for better quality, higher efficiency and more robust drivers of economic growth through new industrialisation, better use of technology, urbanisation, and agricultural modernisation, then we can at least now see a clearer direction for future economic growth.

Preventing systemic financial risks has been the focus of attention of the Chinese leadership and many investors around the world. At the National Financial Work Conference in July 2017, General Secretary Xi stressed that China should treat the deleveraging of state-owned enterprises (SOE)–the major beneficiaries of the banks’ easy credit and main source of bad debt–as “the priority of priorities,” adequately deal with the “zombie enterprises”, and hold officials accountable for a lifetime for building up debt at their respective regions.

To address the problems, the 19th Party Congress report calls for “deepening Institutional reform in the financial sector, increasing the proportion of direct financing, and promoting the healthy development of a multilevel capital market”. There are also plans to step up supervision of the financial markets. All encouraging moves.

State-owned enterprise reform has become the centrepiece of China’s economic policy. China has given priority to enhancing SOE competitiveness and efficiency through market-oriented reforms and reducing excessive production capacity. There are signs that SOE reform has gathered pace, starting in August with a partial privatisation deal at China Unicom and with over 68% of central SOEs now involved in mixed ownership reform.

The 19th Party Congress stated that the Party will support state capital in “becoming stronger, doing better, and growing bigger”, and turn Chinese enterprises into “world-class, globally competitive firms”. It also said that the Party will work to consolidate and develop the public sector while encouraging, supporting, and guiding the development of the non-public sector. This is encouraging, however it remains to be seen how SOE expansions will not crowd-out private investment, how to improve SOEs’ returns on investment, and through what mechanisms entrepreneurship and innovation in SOEs are encouraged.

China’s private sector contributes 60% of total GDP, 50% of tax revenues and 80% of employment opportunities. Yet the sector’s growth peaked in 2011 and plunged in 2016 to a low level. The 19th Party Congress report calls for “supporting the growth of private businesses”, and doing away with regulations and practices that impede the development of a unified market and fair competition. While all these measures are in the right direction, time will tell how effective they are.

After rapid growth for over two decades, foreign direct investment (FDI) into China has stalled recently, standing at US$126 billion in 2016. In the first nine months this year, FDI fell by 3.16% year-on-year, according the Ministry of Commerce. There are many reasons for the decline, such as labour-intensive manufacturing companies moving to other low-cost neighbouring countries, but a key reason is the accumulated “promise fatigue”, where many government commitments to further open up to the world and level the playing field are not followed through.

The 19th Party Congress report reaffirms that China will not close its door to the world and will only “become more and more open”. It commits to adopt policies to promote high-standard liberalisation and facilitation of trade and investment, significantly “ease market access”, and “protect the legitimate rights and interests” of foreign investors. “All businesses registered in China will be treated equally”, the report declares. Now that these issues have been given such high political prominence, hopefully the situation will significantly improve in the coming years.

The report also calls for “developing new ways of making outbound investments”, promoting international cooperation on production capacity, and forming globally-oriented networks of trade, investment, financing, production and services. It clearly states that the Belt and Road Initiative will be pursued “as a priority” and investment in these regions is likely to grow further.

So while there were perhaps no real surprises coming out of the 19th Congress, there were for business some encouraging noises and initiatives–the gathering pace of SOE reform, improved market access and fairer treatment for foreign companies, commitment to the Belt and Road Initiative and an increased focus on environmental protection and improving people’s livelihood. Only time will tell which of these initiatives will bear fruit first and when…but time is something that General Secretary Xi does appear to have on his side.

Richard Oldfield leads all market-facing activities, initiatives, and strategy. Prior to his current role, Richard was a member of the UK Executive Board for five years during which he was Head of Clients and Markets and latterly Head of Strategy and Communications.  Richard also led the UK firm’s Banking and Capital Markets Assurance practice and sat on the Assurance Leadership team. Read more

10/16/2017

Why the eyes of global business leaders will be on Beijing this week

Author: Richard Oldfield, Global Markets Leader  Richard-oldfield

As the leaders of the Communist party in China gather this week in Beijing for the 19th National Party Congress, business leaders around the world will be focused on President Xi and his colleagues, watching and waiting for any indication of the future direction for the Chinese economy and the climate for investment.


In a world of rapid change, political shocks and fluctuating economies, many have come to view China as a steady ship and a reliable engine for economic growth. While the Congress is not known for setting out detailed policy announcements, there is an expectation that President Xi will, when he addresses the meeting, set out his agenda for the next five years and cement some of the key policies and reforms that he has put in place since becoming leader of China in 2012. Policies that have fostered an environment that has allowed businesses to grow and thrive As China forms its political leadership for the next five years, the key questions on the minds of business leaders around the world will be:

  • Will China remain committed to opening its markets and economic reform?
  • What are the possible future policies on investment both by foreign companies in China and outbound investment by Chinese companies?
  • What direction will future Chinese monetary policy take?
  • And what policies will be put in place to boost infrastructure, urbanisation and sustainable development - in particular the Belt and Road initiative.

How many of these questions will be answered by the end of the session remains to be seen. But as we prepare to listen to President Xi’s thoughts on the future direction of China, I would encourage you to take a look at our thoughts on:

The other big question for business is what future role China will play in world affairs and in particular on trade, given the more domestic focus of the Trump administration. While we may not learn much detail this month, based on previous speeches by President Xi the expectation is that China will remain very positive on the benefits of global trade.


While this month the world will be looking at Beijing, next month the world’s gaze will turn to Vietnam where heads of state from the Pacific region, including both President Xi and President Trump will gather to attend the annual meeting of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) leaders and give us their views on regional and world trade. It’s going to be an interesting couple of weeks.


For PwC’s views on the upcoming APEC meeting please take a look here.

Richard Oldfield leads all market-facing activities, initiatives, and strategy. Prior to his current role, Richard was a member of the UK Executive Board for five years during which he was Head of Clients and Markets and latterly Head of Strategy and Communications.  Richard also led the UK firm’s Banking and Capital Markets Assurance practice and sat on the Assurance Leadership team. Read more

09/14/2017

Tomorrow’s world: a revolution begins

Author: Richard Sexton, Global  Assurance Leader, PwC

A fluid, inclusive information system is taking shape Richard-sexton

Before any revolution, a tipping-point arrives: an inflexion point where a set of apparently separate developments come together and align to make radical change inevitable. In my view, we’re now at such a point in the world of corporate reporting and assurance.

Why do I say this? To explain, let me begin by looking at the current landscape of company information – and then at where today’s developments are taking it.

As we all know, we’re living and working in an increasingly complex and fast-moving world of decisions, risks and opportunities. It’s also a world in which management teams have more and better data and information than ever before with which to manage their businesses and respond to stakeholders’ interests. They’re accessing data from an expanding array of internal and external sources, and synthesising it to develop fresh insight for decision-making.

A growing proportion of the data that management teams are using is now generated outside their company and beyond its control. And this same information is also available to people outside the company including customers, investors, suppliers, owners and society as a whole.  They are also drawing on this information to make their own decisions and put management teams under intensifying scrutiny, about issues ranging from strategy to ethics, and from environmental impacts to what factors really drive their decision-making.

Management teams are responding to this scrutiny by using a broader range of data in managing their businesses. The reporting of this information combined with the growing availability of company-related data generated by sources from outside of the company, is putting today’s system of reporting and assurance under increasing strain, pulling it in directions undreamt of when it was developed over 100 years ago.

In my view, all these shifts are now combining to create one irresistible force for change. Because what companies and their stakeholders need today is a new solution to the information challenge: one that provides management teams with information to manage their businesses more effectively and responsibly, while also enabling stakeholders to access the right types of credible information to make decisions with confidence.

What’s more, such a solution is starting to take shape. What we at PwC can see emerging from today’s state of flux is an interdependent network of systems – an “ecosystem” of information and trust – that will be broader, more fluid and more inclusive than any before.

The ecosystem will be powered by technology and fuelled by data. It will be capable of adapting to future advances in technology, managing and sharing multiple sources and types of data and information, and fostering more balanced decision-making that benefits the system as a whole. And – as the image shows – it will include an optimised form of today’s system of financial reporting and assurance.

The evolution of the ecosystem

Blog image

The transition to the ecosystem is already underway, with many of the required components in place and various participants taking steps to accelerate its development. To find out more about what it’ll mean for your business, download our new point of view paper. I’m sure you’ll find it a riveting read.

Whatever role your business may ultimately play in the ecosystem, its emergence sounds a call to action that you cannot afford to ignore. We think all companies and stakeholders should prepare now by taking steps to plan and secure their future position in it.

  • What relationships are important for you to establish or grow?  Do you need to establish more permanent bonds?
  • Who else is generating data on you and how reliable is it? Can you work to improve the quality of the data and help people put it in context?
  • How can you help people to use all the data available on you and your company’s impact more effectively in decision-making?

And there’s no time to lose: early adopters will gain a competitive edge – while laggards will face a battle to catch up. The choice is yours.


Contact Richard

Connect with Richard on LinkedIn

Richard Sexton is Vice Chairman; Global Assurance, an appointment he took up on 1 July 2013. In this role, he focuses on further building the PwC network’s global assurance practice with particular emphasis of quality and regulatory matters, trust in the profession, and broader financial markets. Read Richard's full biography.

 

08/10/2017

Untangle the perils from the promises of Agile Project Delivery

Authors: Chris Oxborough, Partner and Dr Andrew Schuster, Director, PwC UK’s Technology Risk practice

Organisations are having to cope with the need to adapt or radically change operating models to meet the demands of a rapidly changing market place. More than ever before, they need to be increasingly flexible to succeed in today’s evolving landscape of digital change.  As a result, many project managers are turning to Agile Project Delivery (APD) methods as a way to deliver the technology-enabled changes that are needed to help their organisations thrive.

What is unique about Agile Project Delivery?
Agile Project Delivery strives to deliver products through disciplined, proven practices and allows for adjustments based on continuous stakeholder and customer feedback, thereby increasing speed to market. It is a value-driven approach that can give organisations the capacity to deliver high-priority, high-quality work and create lasting meaningful relationships with stakeholders. APD differs from traditional project delivery in four fundamental ways (see table). Four values WEB
Embedded into every facet of APD, these four values set the tone for a successful result through a change in cultural mindset, incremental working prototypes, stakeholder collaboration and readiness to respond to change. They shift the emphasis away from delivering the project by following a detailed pre-established plan to working with people to deliver meaningful outputs more gradually.  This approach tends to lower risk as it provides the opportunity to respond early in the delivery lifecycle. Traditional project delivery has high visibility at the beginning and end of a project. Agile, on the other hand, aims to reduce and mitigate risks through its ongoing visibility and continuous improvement approach.

Is Agile right for you? Its perils can outweigh the promises
Although APD can introduce possibilities for improving successful delivery, it can also introduce perils for your organisation. For example:

  • there must be consistently high levels of senior decision maker involvement throughout delivery, which can take time away from other priorities
  • team resources must be highly engaged and available, which may divert resources and funding from other work
  • the APD environment must operate within a mature and stable governance context, otherwise it loses its flexibility and cannot operate as intended.

If your organisation is not able to create an environment where Agile can operate well, you may want to consider alternative project management methodologies. If, however, the promises are compelling and the perils are managed, APD may be right for you. 

Assuring Agile Project Delivery
Achieving the full value from Agile Project Delivery requires continuous planning and a commitment to proactive and embedded assurance as part of an Agile transformation.

Organisations that successfully employ ADP methods ensure they have the right governance and controls in place. You must make your organisation ready before you embark on APD. To do this, leading organisations develop a framework to take into account a number of factors that consider the principles of good project management and Agile methodology practices. This includes:

  • Assurance to management, sponsors, IT, risk teams, and internal audit on Agile governance, controls, culture and change management
  • Safeguards to the delivery team and internal audit so that they can be effective and enable Agile
  • Guidelines for building a corporate Agile Centre of Excellence that reinforces the governance and culture around the methodology
  • Confidence that the fundamentals of Agile are embedded into ways of working such as risk management and training.

Our Agile Delivery Confidence Framework can help organisations make assessments against these essential elements of project management, governance, cost, and measurement of value delivery. Find out more in Agile Project Delivery Confidence: Mitigate project risks and deliver value to your business. The paper explores how you can create value for your organisation by building the right capabilities, unleashing your potential and gaining confidence to deliver the best product to market, while minimising delivery risks.

  Chris OxboroughChris Oxborough is a partner in PwC UK’s Technology Risk practice. In this capacity, he brings together a broad set of technology risk capabilities including data and analytics, cyber, strategy and transformation, technology operations and integration and emerging technology capabilities.

Connect with Chris on LinkedIn

 

 


AndrewDr Andrew Schuster is a Director in PwC UK’s Technology Risk practice, a role in which he focuses on providing strategy and transformation assurance to a range of clients. He also drives the development of global and national propositions and capabilities.


Connect with Andrew on LinkedIn
Follow Andrew on Twitter

07/19/2017

Data – are you maximising one of your most valuable assets?

Author: Jennifer Ho, Global Data & Analytics Risk Assurance Leader, PwC Jennifer Ho_9908

Decision-makers today are faced with an ever-evolving inventory of risks and there is an increasing need for better data information so organisations can take action.  But, what data is needed to do a better job at identifying emerging risks and how can business leaders tackle this head on?

The results of our 20th Annual Global CEO survey tell us that CEOs are ploughing investment into innovation – and are focusing on boosting talent in the digital and technology space to capitalise on new opportunities. The next generation of cognitive computing and programming applications will fundamentally transform the ability of users to correlate and connect data in ways never before imagined.  With big data, cloud computing, governance, compliance and Artificial Intelligence, risk managers will be able to gain advantages from capturing, extracting and transforming data to perform risk assessments, stress tests and risk scenario analyses.

The need for good data has never been greater

Companies in all sectors are seeking consistent, credible and trustworthy data to make faster and well-informed decisions.  The demands of big data and data analytics are creating a world where data needs to be shared in new ways.   As a result, data is one of the most valuable assets a company possesses.  Yet many companies fail to unlock the full value of their data because they manage it in a fragmented fashion.  Often, organisations lack a standardised and coordinated approach to data governance, management and analytics.

Future risk technologies will use this evolution in computing to enhance the automation of traditionally controlled activities, such as the financial statement audit. This will form the basis for effective information, communication, monitoring and related processes - critical for an organisation to effectively manage risk management.

Advanced technological platforms that can address complex situations are currently characterised by ambiguity and uncertainty. Cognitive capabilities including data mining, language processing and machine learning are supplementing traditional analytics and being applied against massive data sets to help find indicators of known and unknown risks.

170707-103414-JP-OS_LinkedIn-556-x-398_v3

What’s in it for executives? 

Many companies are getting into the action on big data with existing resources and making the investments in technological platforms, business intelligence, data mining and others.  But the essential first step is to think about the critical business issues first.  For example, is it to improve product profitability, customer segmentation/analysis, supply chain optimisation, financial performance management, workforce performance and alignment, or for regulatory compliance?  Whilst big data means different things to different people in a company, the focus of big data should be all about making faster, smarter and more confident business decisions.   

There is an infinite amount of data out there, but organisations often suffer from time and resource deficits to perform comprehensive data analytics. Therefore, once the executive team agrees on the critical business issues, then – and only then – should they consider and analyse the data sources that will be most appropriate to help them solve these key issues.  This focused approach to data analytics should help to get better actionable insights.

Jennifer is the Global Data & Analytics Risk Assurance Leader based in Hong Kong. She also leads PwC China's Data and Analytics team. She has extensive experience in providing data analytics to clients to enhance their management and compliance reporting; improve business processes and internal controls; and gain operational efficiencies. She graduated from University of Waterloo in Canada with a first class honours degree in Master of Accounting and is a member of the CICA and HKICPA. She is also a CISA and CRISC and has attended Executive Leadership program at INSEAD Business School.

07/07/2017

Thinking Strategically about Policy

Author: David Sapin, PwC US Risk and Regulatory Consulting Leader David Sapin

What is a policy and why is it important?  Policies - for the purposes of this blog - are principles or plans that define the approach that a government wants to pursue to achieve a desired outcome. Policies are brought to life through legislation, regulations, guidelines, industry self regulation, or some other formalised approach directing how the policy objective will be met.  These are the rules that industry must live by. 

Companies around the world are dealing with an increasingly complex and rapidly changing policy environment. Some of the changes are driven by politics, such as the growing isolationist policies in Europe and the US withdrawal from the Paris climate accord. Others are driven by a changing business environment, like the global financial regulatory reforms enacted in the wake of the last financial crisis.  Technological innovation will almost certainly spur more regulatory change.. Adding to the complexity, there is often little consistency in how policies evolve and are implemented in different jurisdictions.

USDP-0106375_v1.0-Linkedin
PwC’s 20th CEO Survey found that 80% of the CEOs interviewed see over-regulation as one of the top threats to their organization’s growth objectives. What can CEOs do? To start, they can take a more proactive and strategic approach to addressing emerging policies before they are formalized through legislation and regulation. Emerging technology stakeholders, for instance, can seize the opportunity to consider how key innovations designed to benefit consumers and society might also pose unintended risks - and how the private sector might address those challenges in ways that better anticipates regulators’ likely concerns.

Companies that successfully navigate the policy maze will be those that have positioned themselves to spot trends in the changing landscape.  Monitoring, analysing and planning for policy and regulatory issues combined with taking a coordinated approach across jurisdictions will allow companies to best anticipate and influence the outcome.  Whether it is deciding what markets are the best opportunities for expansion, how to design products for the future, or what types of companies to acquire, it is critical for companies to integrate a strategic view of potential policy and regulatory impact into the analysis.

Every major global organisation has a government relations or public policy team. Unfortunately, many focus myopically on interacting with governmental bodies in their local markets. The companies that will most likely succeed in the rapidly changing policy environment will be those that effectively integrate a policy perspective into their strategic business planning process and successfully execute that strategy. 

 David leads PwC's U.S. Risk and Regulatory consulting business, advising his clients on the risks and regulatory issues impacting their business, strategy and operations.

05/25/2017

Banking on disruption: how the BCM sector can turn change into a competitive advantage

Author: Kevin Burrowes, Clients and Markets Leader, PwC UK Kevin Burrowes

The banking and capital markets (BCM) sector is being rocked by some of the biggest disruptive challenges that exist today. Its growth is under threat from over-regulation, rapid technological change, shifting customer behaviour and the arrival of ambitious market entrants that are contesting its hegemony. No surprise, then, that our 20th CEO Survey revealed that BCM was one of the three sectors most affected by disruption and change – surpassed by only insurance, and entertainment and the media.

Of course, disruption and change are not necessarily bad news. I know that BCM leaders are conscious that today’s marketplace presents as many opportunities for their organisations as it does threats. In particular, they have the opportunity to reinvent themselves as leaner and nimbler operations that can form more personal relationships with their customers and better respond to their needs.

To reach this place, however, BCM organisations need to be more proactive about boosting innovation and customer intimacy, while driving down costs. They also need to look at how they can build the workforce and develop the technological capabilities that will get them to where they need to be in future.

Understandably, given its far-reaching impact on both our economy and society, technology is a major preoccupation for BCM leaders. The vast majority (84%) of BCM CEOs who responded to our survey believe that technology will completely reshape, or at least have a significant impact on, competition within their industry over the next five years. This presents them with a major challenge in terms of living up to customer expectations. Banking is a notoriously complex business where security is of paramount concern, yet customers still expect banks to provide the same easy and intuitive online experience as retailers and tech companies.

B&CM_graph

RegTech is another important driver of change. Global demand for regulatory, compliance and governance software is expected to reach US$118.7 billion by 2020, according to fintech insights provider Let’s Talk Payments. With a plethora of RegTech products to choose from, BCM leaders must work out how they can best boost their organisation’s competitiveness by using technology to cut the cost of regulatory compliance.

CEOs recognise that they need to make changes – this comes through very clearly in the discussions that I have with them. In practice, however, they are holding back from taking the decisive action that is needed to harness the power of disruption for their organisation.

Our survey found that BCM CEOs cite digital and technological capabilities as the area they would most like to strengthen so that they can exploit new opportunities. Yet, puzzlingly, just 40% of BCM CEOs are considering the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on their future skills needs, with a mere 6% doing to a great extent. This is despite AI already having a big impact on trading desks through the automated switching of algorithms and it being set to transform the way in which organisations interact with their customers in future.

On a final note, data is undoubtedly one of the greatest assets that BCM organisations typically have at their disposal – and it is the envy of most other sectors. In my experience, however, they are not using this data to their advantage. Most are not investing in predictive modelling, machine learning and other advanced analytical capabilities that could help them to sharpen their customer targeting and create more personalised and relevant services. Since they are only capitalising on a fraction of their data’s potential, they risk being overtaken by competitors that are more adept at exploiting customer intelligence.

BCM faces the same stark choice as virtually every industry sector right now – disrupt or be disrupted. CEOs must make sure that their organisation chooses the former option and there is no better time to start than today.

Kevin is a partner in PwC, the world’s largest professional services firm.  He is PwC's Clients and Markets Leader in the UK and the Global Banking & Capital Markets Leader.

During his career he has primarily focused on advising, leading and delivering projects for Investment Banks across a broad agenda from strategy to process efficiency, Front Office to HR, globally and locally.  His clients have included JP Morgan, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, HSBC and HM Government.   He has previously worked at IBM, Credit Suisse and The Royal Bank of Scotland and has been based in London, New York and Frankfurt.  He is a member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales.