Electricity market reform - failed before it's begun
The first lecture in the series got off to great start last night with Dieter Helm setting out his case for why EMR is unlikely to succeed in delivering on any of its three core objectives. In his response Simon Less also argued that EMR was flawed, albeit for different reasons.
The reality of the situation, however, is that the government is not going to do a u-turn on EMR in the medium term, so we are in for a period of, as Dieter suggested more, sticking plasters being put on a market that is not functioning.
There seems to be a feeling that the challenge of facilititating a huge ramp up in investment is going to be too much, but the question is, at what point does the government realise this is the expected outcome?
It feels like the acid test will be in whether, what Dieter Helm described as his 2 energy laws, are passed, i.e. customers won't be able to pay and customers won't vote to be forced to pay. Given the recent increases in energy prices the evidence suggests that when the costs of decarbonising our power sector start to find their way to consumers, these laws will fail and then we will be into our next market review.
Ronan O'Regan
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